The peace process and the regional power shift

Tap any event for details. Gold badges on the line mark the response time.

Israel and the region act Turkey and the peace track Power shifts
7 Oct 2023

The attack opened the era of regional redesign. Israel's counteroffensive over the following two years reshaped the position of every actor around Turkey.

27 Sep 2024

Israel eliminated Hezbollah's first-tier leadership, showing it could dismantle a large armed movement embedded in a neighbouring state.

1 Oct 2024

Bahceli shook hands with DEM deputies at the opening of parliament, and Erdogan warned the same day that Israel would target Turkey after Palestine and Lebanon. Al-Monitor had already reported secret contacts between the state and the PKK.

5 Nov 2024

Regional actors prepared for a transactional administration. Washington became the arena through which both Ankara and Israel pressed their cases on the Kurdish question.

10 Nov 2024

Israel's foreign minister declared the Kurds a natural ally with political and security dimensions, reviving the periphery doctrine of Israel's founding decades.

14 Nov 2024

KCK Executive Council member Zubeyir Aydar responded that the movement could establish relations with Israel. Ankara subsequently concentrated the entire process on Imrali.

8 Dec 2024

The collapse removed Iranian influence from the Syrian file and left the SDF's position dependent on the shape of the new order.

28 Dec 2024

A DEM delegation visited Ocalan in the first political meeting on the island in nearly a decade.

27 Feb 2025

His message presented Turkish-Kurdish fraternity as the way to withstand hegemonic powers and credited Erdogan and Bahceli by name.

10 Mar 2025

Abdi and Sharaa signed the agreement integrating the SDF into the Syrian army, the outcome Ankara had pressed for.

5 May 2025

The congress acted on Ocalan's call and formally ended the organisation's armed struggle.

13 Jun 2025

The first direct war between the two states set the stage for the larger confrontation of 2026.

11 Jul 2025

PKK fighters began handing over weapons at a supervised ceremony, the first physical step of the process.

13 Jul 2025

Fighting in Sweida later gained wider significance: the Washington Post reported an Israeli-linked funding and training channel to Druze militants that ran through the SDF and predated Assad's fall.

5 Aug 2025

A cross-party commission took over oversight of disarmament and preparation of the legal framework.

28 Feb 2026

Washington sounded out Iraqi Kurdish leaders on a ground front coordinated with Mossad, the plan Ankara moved to block.

Mar 2026

Kan News reported Turkey threatened air assistance to Iran if Kurdish forces invaded; Araghchi corroborated the sequence, and Kurdish leaders used Ankara as the channel for their refusal.

8 Apr 2026

Both sides used the pause to strengthen their positions, and Iran moved to seal the Kurdish frontier.

8 Jul 2026

Hostilities resumed, and Iranian strikes on Kurdish opposition bases in the Kurdistan Region intensified.

23 Jul 2026

Ocalan approved the draft and the breakthrough set the implementation sequence, two weeks into renewed war.